Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-0
CD Málaga vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
MAL
1 - 0
RMA
20%
27%
54%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PON
1 - 0
MAL
60%
23%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
MAL
1 - 1
FCB
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
ELC
1 - 0
MAL
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
MAL
0 - 1
CCF
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
CAS
1 - 0
XER
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
CAS
3 - 1
CEU
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
CAS
3 - 1
CDT
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAS
49%
27%
25%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |