CD Málaga vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
CAD
4 - 1
MAL
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
MAL
3 - 0
LEV
66%
17%
17%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
SAB
1 - 1
MAL
58%
20%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
MAL
4 - 0
RCD
78%
12%
9%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAL
32%
23%
46%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
CAS
6 - 0
BAD
77%
13%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
BET
2 - 0
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
CAS
1 - 0
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
CAS
4 - 2
GIR
51%
21%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
CAD
4 - 2
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |