Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-1
CD Málaga vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
BET
0 - 0
MAL
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
MAL
6 - 0
FER
70%
15%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
FER
1 - 4
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 1
JFC
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
JFC
1 - 0
MAL
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
BET
0 - 0
MAL
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BET
3 - 1
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SDC
2 - 1
BET
31%
23%
47%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAD
1 - 2
BET
38%
23%
40%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BET
1 - 2
CAD
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |