Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-13
CD Málaga vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
MAL
5 - 1
GRA
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
MAL
2 - 0
SLA
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAL
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
MAL
4 - 0
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FCB
5 - 1
ATM
75%
13%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1952 |
ATM
2 - 4
FCB
65%
17%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CAT
2 - 5
FCB
24%
22%
54%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
FCB
7 - 0
UDL
89%
7%
4%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
SEV
3 - 0
FCB
48%
21%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |