CD Málaga vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
MAL
4 - 1
RAY
71%
17%
13%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
MAL
6 - 0
EXT
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAL
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
MAL
4 - 2
VAL
69%
17%
13%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
BAS
2 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
BAR
0 - 2
OSA
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
CUL
1 - 2
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
BAR
2 - 2
PON
80%
13%
8%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
CDO
3 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |