Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-2
CD Málaga vs Atlético Marbella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
RMA
0 - 0
MAL
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1984 |
MAL
0 - 0
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
RAC
2 - 0
MAL
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
AMA
0 - 1
MAL
23%
29%
49%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
MAL
1 - 0
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
AMA
0 - 1
LIN
25%
32%
43%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
XER
1 - 0
AMA
80%
15%
5%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
AMA
2 - 0
MNC
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
AMA
0 - 1
MAL
23%
29%
49%
|
37 | 76 | 39 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
PBL
2 - 0
AMA
76%
17%
7%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |