Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
CD Málaga vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
MAL
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
OSA
3 - 0
MAL
75%
15%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 0
CCF
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ZAR
4 - 0
MAL
84%
11%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATM
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
MAL
55%
21%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
2 - 0
BAS
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
SDI
3 - 3
ALA
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
ATB
75%
14%
10%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1963 |
CON
4 - 1
ALA
52%
22%
26%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |