Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 10-1
CD Málaga vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
14.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
FER
1 - 4
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 1
JFC
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
JFC
1 - 0
MAL
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
CAS
6 - 0
MAL
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
FER
1 - 4
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
RAC
4 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
FER
1 - 0
ALA
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
FER
5 - 0
RAC
75%
14%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ALA
4 - 0
FER
75%
14%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |