FC Málaga City vs Martos CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
18º
18º
24
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 59 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Málaga City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
CDM
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 0
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HUE
1 - 0
CDM
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
TOR
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
CDM
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Martos CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
HUE
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARE
30%
25%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |