FC Málaga City vs CD Huracán Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
15º
14º
5
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Málaga City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDM
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 2
ALM
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 0
CDM
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
MAL
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UDT
2 - 0
CDM
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Huracán Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CHM
1 - 2
ALM
5%
12%
83%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
8 - 0
CHM
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 4
ARE
9%
16%
75%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
6 - 0
CHM
79%
15%
6%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 6
TOR
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |