FC Málaga City vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
17º
15º
48
7º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 7 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Málaga City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDR
0 - 0
CDM
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
CDM
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 2
TOR
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RJA
4 - 1
CDM
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 2
RJA
21%
24%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 0
ARE
52%
25%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 1
MOT
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
ARE
29%
25%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARE
3 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |