CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALH
0 - 1
LUG
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 2
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
APB
1 - 4
LUG
14%
21%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 0
YEB
35%
26%
39%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CDF
1 - 1
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 3
CDM
52%
23%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LEG
0 - 0
ARA
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 1
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
ARA
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 0
CLA
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |