Lolo Fernandez vs Sport Cáceres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
53.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lolo Fernandez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 1
CLF
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Cáceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
CHA
45%
22%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAN
68%
18%
15%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
OLI
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 0
DLV
42%
25%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDV
3 - 2
CAN
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |