Leones vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
9º
45
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
68.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 2
CSV
31%
29%
40%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
LFC
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
INJ
23%
28%
49%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
ESA
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
RIV
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
CUN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
RIV
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |