Leones vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
10º
9º
47
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
70.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
LFC
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
CSV
37%
29%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
LFC
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
INJ
22%
30%
48%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
CHA
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 2
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUN
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAN
26%
31%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
ESA
61%
25%
14%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |