Leones vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
10º
9º
51
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 69 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 62 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 55 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 52 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
10º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 80.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
66.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
LFC
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
GUA
30%
29%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
LFC
58%
25%
18%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
ESA
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 1
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
MUS
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
INJ
22%
30%
48%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 3
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
INJ
21%
29%
50%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |