Leones vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
48.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
9º
52
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 69% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
71.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
ESA
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
LFC
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
LFC
3 - 0
MAN
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
LFC
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
INJ
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 0
CUN
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 5
INJ
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
INJ
20%
28%
53%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |