Leones vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 1
LFC
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
GFC
84%
11%
6%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 2
LFC
13%
17%
69%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
HFC
88%
8%
3%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
HFC
2 - 3
LFC
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 1
LFC
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BCF
2 - 2
DEP
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
BCF
69%
19%
11%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DEP
5 - 0
POL
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 10 | 54 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
DEP
13%
21%
67%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |