Leones vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
69
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 2
LFC
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
MAN
23%
30%
47%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
LFC
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
CSV
37%
29%
33%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
LFC
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 5
CUN
22%
30%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CUN
0 - 1
RIV
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CUN
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CUN
0 - 0
ESA
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUN
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |