Leones vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
LFC
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
INJ
23%
28%
49%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
ESA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
LFC
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CSV
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
OCT
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
CSV
30%
30%
41%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 1
CSV
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |