Leones vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
9º
29
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
71.5% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
LFC
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
INJ
23%
28%
49%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
ESA
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
LFC
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CSV
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
OCT
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
CSV
30%
30%
41%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 1
CSV
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |