Leones vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
10º
9º
25
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
70.5% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
LFC
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
GUA
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
LFC
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
RIV
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 2
CSV
31%
29%
40%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OCT
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
CHA
31%
30%
40%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CUN
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
CHA
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |