Leones vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
47
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
LFC
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 3
CUN
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
LFC
68%
22%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RIA
0 - 2
LFC
18%
20%
62%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PSC
1 - 1
OCT
5%
11%
84%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
OCT
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |