Leones vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
10º
9º
42
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
70.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
LFC
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 3
CUN
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
LFC
68%
22%
10%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RIA
0 - 2
LFC
18%
20%
62%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PSC
1 - 1
OCT
5%
11%
84%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
OCT
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |