CD Ursaria vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
4º
2º
33
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
93% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 2
URS
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
URS
2 - 2
LRZ
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
URS
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 1
URS
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
URS
2 - 1
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RVB
1 - 2
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRJ
2 - 2
RVB
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RVB
0 - 1
CDM
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CVI
0 - 2
RVB
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RVB
1 - 0
CAN
75%
15%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |