CP Mijas Las Lagunas vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
12º
7º
15
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 59 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Mijas Las Lagunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDL
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 4
CDL
71%
19%
11%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
JUV
15%
21%
65%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 2
CDL
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 1
BEN
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POL
1 - 5
MAL
21%
23%
56%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
6 - 0
POL
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
POL
0 - 2
ARE
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AME
2 - 4
POL
15%
21%
63%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |