Copa Peru Primera Ronda Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Juventud Cautivo vs UD Parachique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points