CD Juvenil vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Juvenil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
PON
2 - 4
JUV
79%
12%
9%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ARO
4 - 3
JUV
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 0
ACF
87%
8%
5%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
JUV
5 - 1
POP
65%
17%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
BER
1 - 0
JUV
79%
12%
10%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SGL
4 - 1
POP
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
SGL
4 - 3
RJU
77%
13%
10%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
AVI
2 - 1
SGL
47%
21%
32%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
SGL
4 - 1
CAU
76%
13%
11%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
SGL
2 - 1
PON
73%
15%
12%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |