CD Juvenil vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
12.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Juvenil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
PON
0 - 2
JUV
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
JUV
3 - 2
ZAM
72%
15%
14%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
SAN
1 - 0
JUV
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 1
MAL
85%
9%
6%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
JUV
10 - 0
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ACF
2 - 1
LEM
57%
19%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
BET
2 - 2
ACF
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
ACF
1 - 1
ORE
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ACF
76%
14%
11%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |