ART Jalapa vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
61.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
6º
35
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 2
CDS
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 0
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
JAP
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
JAP
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 2
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 4
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |