ART Jalapa vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
61.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
6º
35
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 2
CDS
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 0
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
JAP
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
JAP
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 2
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 4
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |