CD Guarnizo U19 vs Atlético Mineros Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
57%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+307%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
13º
17º
16º
34
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 63 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 57 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 54 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 52 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 51 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 51 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 48 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 46 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 44 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 41 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
15º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 28 |
16º
|
40.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 19 |
18º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
68.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guarnizo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
4 - 0
CDG
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 2
MAS
6%
12%
82%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SDN
5 - 3
CDG
48%
21%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 2
PEA
25%
21%
55%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SDP
5 - 2
CDG
67%
17%
15%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Mineros Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDT
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SDN
5 - 4
ATL
29%
21%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
CFC
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
CFV
39%
24%
38%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CLU
2 - 0
ATL
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |