Guardense vs Cd Velilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.9%
68.9%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
4.5%
3-5
1.5%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
2.8%
3-6
0.8%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
1.5%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.7%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 1
GUA
24%
19%
57%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 3
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CER
7 - 0
GUA
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 0
GUA
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cd Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 4
CDV
16%
15%
69%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 4
VIL
37%
21%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDF
6 - 0
CDV
42%
20%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDV
4 - 0
VDB
35%
22%
42%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GRI
1 - 4
CDV
14%
14%
72%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |