CD Guadalajara vs UD Sanse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
10º
7º
3
4º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 62 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 58 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 48 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 40 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 35 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
18º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
29.5% | 45% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAL
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 2
GUA
44%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAS
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 1
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Sanse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 0
SSR
22%
28%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SSR
1 - 1
COL
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
SSR
10%
22%
68%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SSR
1 - 2
GET
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 1
SSR
14%
19%
68%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |