CD Guadalajara vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
8º
1º
30
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 65 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 64 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 59 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 24 |
17º
|
63.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PAS
0 - 1
GUA
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
GUA
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
CDM
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GET
2 - 2
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
NAV
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 1
CDT
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 3
MEL
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 1
COL
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
MEL
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
GET
31%
29%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |