CD Guadalajara vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
URS
3 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
LAN
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
UDS
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
SSR
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 2
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 2
NUM
16%
26%
59%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
UDG
0 - 1
ILL
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 0
CDB
16%
25%
59%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
ILL
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 3
ADL
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |