CD Guadalajara vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ULP
2 - 1
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 0
LAN
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OVI
3 - 1
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
GIM
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VEC
1 - 1
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CDT
4 - 2
ULP
26%
28%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LAN
2 - 1
CDT
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
GIM
0 - 1
CDT
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |