CD Guadalajara vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
8º
1º
40
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 65 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 59 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 41 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 38 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 31 |
16º
|
39% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 24 |
17º
|
51.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
96.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 0
GUA
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
3 - 1
CDT
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
MEL
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PAS
0 - 1
GUA
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
GUA
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CPC
0 - 2
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAS
0 - 1
CPC
15%
24%
60%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CPC
1 - 0
COL
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDM
1 - 2
CPC
15%
24%
61%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GET
0 - 0
CPC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |