CD Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 1
GUA
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
CER
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CDT
0 - 1
GUA
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CPC
1 - 1
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDT
39%
28%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ULP
2 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 2
LAN
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OVI
3 - 3
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |