CD Grijota vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
65.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Grijota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 2
AST
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
5 - 0
GRI
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
5 - 2
UDB
59%
18%
23%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 0
GRI
75%
16%
9%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 6
CER
9%
14%
78%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
BAL
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
25%
22%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
7 - 1
GUA
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |