Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-4
CD Gimnastico Melilla vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Gimnastico Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
UBE
3 - 1
GIM
82%
12%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
GIM
2 - 1
UBE
22%
26%
52%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +4 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
GIM
0 - 1
UPL
13%
18%
70%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
UPL
3 - 0
GIM
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
TAL
3 - 1
GIM
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
MAL
3 - 0
DEP
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
MAL
50%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
MAL
1 - 1
SAB
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAL
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |