CD Gerena vs Salerm Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
3º
48
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 1
CDG
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDG
3 - 0
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 0
CDG
19%
24%
57%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 0
CDG
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ANT
3 - 0
CDG
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 2
POZ
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
XER
0 - 1
CDA
54%
24%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
CDA
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 1
CDA
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 0
CDG
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |