CD Génesis vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+153%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
7º
4º
21
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
CDG
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 63 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
CDG
2 - 2
RSO
7%
15%
79%
|
11 | 55 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
VID
2 - 4
CDG
78%
16%
6%
|
9 | 66 | 57 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 0
MOT
16%
26%
58%
|
8 | 71 | 63 | +1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
RES
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 0
RES
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RES
3 - 2
VIC
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |