CD Génesis vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+196%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
10º
10º
10
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 36 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 32 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 29 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 27 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 22 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 20 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDG
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 74 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 2
MAR
5%
12%
84%
|
36 | 74 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
CDG
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
JAG
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 1
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |