CD Génesis vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
2º
9º
9º
1
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 33 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 29 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 29 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 27 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 27 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 26 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 23 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 18 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 17 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 14 |
10º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
12.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RES
1 - 1
CDG
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
RES
2 - 0
CDG
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
RES
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 0
JUT
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
CDG
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RES
0 - 0
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 1
RSO
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 2
OLI
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
JUT
3 - 0
JAG
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |