CD Génesis vs Lobos de la UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+217%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
7º
4º
15
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 1
CDG
82%
13%
6%
|
15 | 60 | 45 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
CDG
70%
20%
11%
|
15 | 73 | 58 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 2
VID
11%
18%
71%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 1
CDG
72%
18%
10%
|
15 | 75 | 60 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
CDG
3 - 1
VIC
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 59 | 46 | +2 |
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
2 - 0
JAG
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
3 - 3
OLI
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |