CD Génesis vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+218%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
7º
4º
29
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 1
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 1
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
COM
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 3
MUN
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
COM
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |