CD Génesis vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
60.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+153%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
35
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
VIC
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
CDG
74%
18%
8%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 0
CDG
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 62 | 36 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
RES
14%
23%
62%
|
24 | 74 | 50 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
24 | 74 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RES
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
RSO
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |