CD Génesis vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
10º
6º
24
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 4
CDG
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
RES
21%
26%
53%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 4
CDG
68%
20%
11%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 1
VIC
20%
25%
56%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
CDG
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 2
ALI
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 2
RSO
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
ALI
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
JAG
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
JUT
0 - 1
ALI
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |