CD Génesis vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+153%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
29
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
VID
0 - 1
CDG
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
RSO
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
29 | 74 | 45 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
MAR
15%
25%
60%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
VIC
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
OLI
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
ALI
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 2
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |