CDF Tres Cantos vs Galapagar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
14º
9º
4
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
3 | 69 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 67 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 61 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 56 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 54 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 43 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 36 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 34 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 31 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
TRC
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRC
0 - 0
ARA
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
TRC
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TRC
0 - 1
LRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 2
TRC
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Galapagar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
GAL
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 4
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RMA
3 - 0
GAL
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GAL
3 - 3
CDM
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |