CDF Tres Cantos vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
14º
9º
4
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
3 | 69 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 67 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 61 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 56 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 54 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 43 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 36 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 34 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 31 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
TRC
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TRC
0 - 1
LRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 2
TRC
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TRC
2 - 3
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
TRC
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 1
ARA
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
SSR
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UZN
3 - 5
ARA
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 3
CPO
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
ARA
16%
22%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |