CDF Tres Cantos vs Alcorcón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
14º
9º
26
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TRJ
2 - 1
TRC
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TRC
3 - 1
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RVB
3 - 1
TRC
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TRC
2 - 2
LEG
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CPO
0 - 2
TRC
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALC
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
CVI
51%
24%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 1
ALC
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |